I may have jumped the gun a little yesterday with next week's system. I'm still gaining knowledge as to the accuracy of computer models 5-7 days out. If they show a storm, I tend to get excited and blow it out of porportion. We can all become better weather forecasters and I am learning as I go along.
Anyhow the GFS lost the storm last night and now it has brought it back. Yesterday afternoon it had a huge storm with a massive overunning event which would lead to a significant snow/ice event. The storm is back, but not as strong as yesterday afternoon. (Again this is the GFS) If the 12Z GFS was to pan out, that would put down a couple of inches for most of the region. The latest GFS keeps the main piece of energy well to our west, off the coast of California, and then rides it up into the Great Lakes by Monday night. This would quickly change any snow to rain. Again these models are pish posh at this point and due to the inconsistency a solution is far from being made. I will back off on my wording yesterday, but this one definetly bears watching! I will have more later this afternoon...
Wednesday, January 21, 2009
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2 comments:
Live and learn Pat...
Happens to the best. Heck, did you see LMK's AFD yesterday?
Dustin...Yes...They have backed off their wording a bit, but are still hinting at a decent winter weather event...PS
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