Wednesday/Mid Afternoon 2

The Storm Prediction Center is now monitoring the area for a potential WATCH. If the watch is issued it would inlcude those from Indianapolis to Seymour to Evansville and Paducah...



SPC says: CONVECTION IS BEGINNING TO DEEPEN/INTENSIFY ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE MID MS VALLEY...ESPECIALLY FROM SERN MO INTO SRN IL. THIS ACTIVITY IS EVOLVING WITHIN A VERY BUOYANT AIRMASS CHARACTERIZED BY STEEP LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES...ON THE ORDER OF 8 C/KM IN THE LOWEST 3KM...AND MLCAPE VALUES OF ROUGHLY 2500 J/KG. LATEST VIS IMAGERY AND LONGER RADAR LOOPS SUGGEST TWO REMNANT MCS VORT CENTERS ARE LOCATED JUST NW OF SGF AND NEAR LIT. WITH BOUNDARY LAYER EXPECTED TO FURTHER DESTABILIZE IT APPEARS A RATHER BROAD SWATH OF ENHANCED THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL EVOLVE FROM NERN AR...NEWD INTO PORTIONS OF SRN IL/IND...PARTLY DRIVEN BY AFOREMENTIONED UPPER VORT MAXIMA...BUT IN LARGE PART BY AFTERNOON HEATING. GIVEN THE WEAK SHEAR ENVIRONMENT IT APPEARS DOWNBURSTS OR PERHAPS SOME HAIL MAY ACCOMPANY THE STRONGEST ACTIVITY. WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THIS REGION FOR POSSIBLE WW.