Saturday, April 4, 2009

Saturday: 4-4/Early Afternoon

WEATHER CODE: GREEN ***No hazardous weather expected***



Sorry for no posts lately. I decided to take a break from my computer and cell phone. They become distractions in my relationship with God, and He's the only one who matters in the end.

It has been a beautiful day outside with clear blue skies and temperatures in the middle 60's across the entire Kentuckiana region. You better enjoy it though, because showers and storms return tomorrow, and we may be talking some severe weather.
The Storm Prediction Center has placed the entire region in a SLIGHT RISK for severe weather. (Maps, and latest SPC discussion are below) Several important factors are coming together for at least a regional outbreak of severe weather across Southern/Central Indiana, Kentucky, and Southwest Ohio. Impressive wind fields, changing with height in the upper atmosphere, MUCAPE of 500-1000 j/kg, and LI's (lifted indices) from -3 to -5 will all contribute to our severe weather threat tomorrow afternoon. Damaging winds, large hail, and even isolated tornadoes will be a possibility as these storms develop. The threat should wane as storms move east toward E. Kentucky, and Central/Eastern Ohio during the night time hours. The SPC only has our region in a 15% risk area, however I expect wind/hail probabilities to be 30% with the DAY 1 outlook scheduled for very early tomorrow morning.
SPC says: WITH FAIRLY STRONG WIND FIELDS -- INCREASING AND VEERING WITH HEIGHT -- FORECAST ATOP THE WARM SECTOR...SHEAR WILL SUPPORT ORGANIZED/SUPERCELL STORMS. WHILE A TORNADO OR TWO WILL BE POSSIBLE...HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS SHOULD BE THE PRIMARY SEVERE THREATS -- PARTICULARLY WITH A QUASI-LINEAR STORM MODE ANTICIPATED. THREAT SHOULD DIMINISH SLOWLY THROUGH THE EVENING...WITH THE ONSET OF COOLING/STABILIZATION.
SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK-Sunday
SEVERE WEATHER PROBABILITY-Sunday

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