Tuesday/3:30PM

WEATHER CODE: NON-SEVERE



It was another dry and warm day across the Wabash and Ohio Valley Region, and this should continue for a majority of the week. However, changes are ahead, and right in time for the Fall season to officially kick into gear. As you know, we have a had a very cool summer. In fact it was the 34th coolest summer in the United States since they started keeping weather data. Pretty impressive to say the least.

Before we talk about the cooler weather that is expected, let's talk about what is going to be ushering in the cooler air. A very potent cold front is expected to settle into the region by Sunday and Monday. There a couple of differences in the computer models when it comes to timing, but a majority do have precipitation. In fact, looking at some of the dynamics associated with this storm system, wouldn't be suprised to see a round of severe weather.

NWS in Louisville says: AS THE FIRST WAVE LIFTS NORTHEAST LATE SUNDAY AND EARLY MONDAY...STRONG H5 TROF IS FCST TO PUSH INTO THE UPPER MIDWEST. THIS WILL BRING A DECENT SFC COLD FRONT INTO THE REGION ON MONDAY...BRINGING ANOTHER ROUND OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. OVERALL KINEMATIC AND THERMODYNAMIC PARAMETERS ARE INCREASING...AND A ROUND OF STRONG TO POSSIBLY SEVERE STORMS IS CERTAINLY POSSIBLE...SOMETHING TO WATCH OVER THE COMING DAYS.

As mentioned above this front will bring some cooler weather into the Wabash and Ohio Valley's. How cool will it get? Well right now, middle 70's for highs and lows in the upper 50's to lower 60's look likely.

Late next week, which, I know, is still several days away, models are beginning to pin-point a more intense cool down.

NWS in LOUISVILLE SAYS: BEYOND THE FCST PD...THE LATEST MODEL SOLUTIONS KEEP A VERY LARGE UPPER TROF CENTERED EAST OF THE MISSISSIPPI. THE TROF AXIS LOOKS TO BE CENTERED TO THE WEST OF THE REGION THROUGH MUCH OF NEXT WEEK...WITH IT PIVOTING THROUGH THE OHIO VALLEY BY NEXT FRIDAY. H5 HEIGHTS LOOK TO FALL TO AROUND 2 STD BELOW NORMAL...WITH 850 TEMPS DROPPING TO NEAR 0. THE 15/12Z ENSEMBLES ARE IN REASONABLY GOOD AGREEMENT HERE...SO A SHOT AT SOME UPPER 30/LOWER 40S IS POSSIBLE BY NEXT WEEK TO HELP USHER IN THE FIRST WEEKEND OF FALL.

I'm not going to jump on this bandwagon quite yet, but it's quite possible we may need our coats late next week. I'll have more tomorrow about severe weather chances, and an update on this potential big time cool down. Have a God blessed night!

Thursday/12:00AM

WEATHER CODE: NON-SEVERE

Even though its not quite Thursday until another 40 minutes, I'm going to act as if it is...

Another dry day on tap for today, however some patchy fog is already developing and will continue to develop through the early morning hours. Some of the fog will be fairly dense in isolated areas, so please use caution if your going out this early morning. Looks like, now, the dry weather will continue through the weekend with near normal temperatures.

Mr. Fred has now been downgraded to a category 2 hurricane. (Current track below) It was a category 3 earlier today. It will take a westward movement in about 4 days, but by this time it may only be a remnant low. We'll have to watch this to see if it can get its act together once again.

Got this off of Belski's blog. I believe the guy that made this forecast is on the ACCUWEATHER forums. Anyhow, here is his winter forecast, so far. click... HERE

Everyone have a God blessed night!

Tuesday/6:20PM

The Farmers Almanac is predicting a frigid winter for nearly the entire country. For more on this click... HERE

Personally, I cannot wait for winter. It is my favorite season. Winter storms bring a whole new level to the word "prediction" in meteorology.

Tropical storm Fred has now formed in the far eastern Atlantic. The 5 day cone from the NHC is below...

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It looks like Fred, at this time, will stay away from the United States. Other than Fred, the tropics are fairly quiet at this time.

Tuesday/3:40PM

WEATHER CODE: NON-SEVERE



Sorry I haven't updated in a while. I am now majoring in Broadcasting at Vincennes University. In late September I will be on WVUT channel 22 here in Vincennes as the weather anchor. If you live in Bedford, Terre Haute, Evansville, or anywhere around these areas, you will be able to pick up the channel!

As for the weather, a few scattered showers out there today, especially across Northern Indiana and areas east of I65. This is do and part to a pesky low pressure system that just doesn't want to move away. This will continue to provide a chance for a few showers and or thunderstorms the next 2 days, especially east of I65. Temperatures through next Monday, at least, will be near normal with highs in the lower 80's and lows in the upper 50's and lower 60's.

As for the weekend, time will tell. Computer models really not agreeing at this point. What they do agree on is a strong upper low diving into the northern Plains by Thursday/Friday. The disagreement is where the highest concentration of precipitation will be, and how much rain will fall. I'll be fine tuning this as we get closer to the weekend. More tonight...everyone have a God blessed day!