Wednesday, September 23, 2009

Wednesday/4:00PM

WEATHER CODE: SLIGHT



Haven't had to go to code green in a while. Doing so, due to the potential of a few more isolated heavy downpours across the region this evening. Currently, showers are sitting over Southern Indiana, and have been for most of the day. I am expecting a little more development to the west of this area, so places like Evansville, Paducah, and Vincennes have the chance to get wet a little later on.

Everything should die out as we lose daytime heating...
Showers and thunderstorms will return tomorrow, but they will be even more isolated. However, storms that do pop up will move slow. So, heavy rain is a possibility.

OK, now that we have all of that out of the way, let's talk severe potential for Friday...

The National Weather Service in Louisville says: BY FRIDAY...LARGE SCALE ASCENT WILL SHIFT INTO THE OHIO VALLEY ACCOMPANIED BY WEAK CAPPING AND DECENT INSTABILITY. WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO REDEVELOP ACROSS THE AREA ON FRIDAY. DEPENDING ON INSTABILITY...STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH DAMAGING WINDS BEING THE PRIMARY THREAT.

Yesterday the SPC had us in a 30% risk in there 4-8 day outlook, now were not even in a slight risk. (Map below) They will update this early tomorrow morning.



After looking at some of the different models, and looking at some of the parameters that look to be in place, I wouldn't be suprised to see the SPC go to a 30% slight risk either in tomorrow morning's update or tomorrow afternoon.

After this, a shot of cool air early next week with highs in the 60's and lows in the 40's. I'll have more on that as we near closer. Everyone have a God blessed night!

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